Comments on: Food and the design of an industrial system http://www.davidroedl.com/2007/11/11/food-and-the-design-of-an-industrial-system/ Fri, 26 Jun 2009 01:24:41 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.2 hourly 1 By: PS http://www.davidroedl.com/2007/11/11/food-and-the-design-of-an-industrial-system/comment-page-1/#comment-932 PS Thu, 06 Dec 2007 04:25:14 +0000 http://www.davidroedl.com/2007/11/11/food-and-the-design-of-an-industrial-system/#comment-932 "I wonder, how can we encourage systemic, long-term reflection in the design process? Can their be methods, tools, and exercises to help us anticipate unintended consequences?" How big can we think? How effective is our futurecasting? Meteorologists are only ever partially right, and only committed to about 10 days in advance. And that's observing physical phenomena. How much larger the challenge with the man made? No theorizing alone in all of human knowledge has ever been able to account for all phenomena. Can complexity theorists powered by mega computers spell out the future? I, the pessimist, don't see it. PS “I wonder, how can we encourage systemic, long-term reflection in the design process? Can their be methods, tools, and exercises to help us anticipate unintended consequences?”

How big can we think? How effective is our futurecasting? Meteorologists are only ever partially right, and only committed to about 10 days in advance. And that’s observing physical phenomena.
How much larger the challenge with the man made? No theorizing alone in all of human knowledge has ever been able to account for all phenomena. Can complexity theorists powered by mega computers spell out the future?

I, the pessimist, don’t see it.

PS

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